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So, one week later, let's take a look at the tracking polls.
Rasmussen (three-day daily tracker):
Romney 47
Obama 44
Gallup (five-day daily tracker):
Obama 47
Romney 44
PPP (Weekly, released April 19th):
Obama 49
Romney 46
MOE 3.3
What we have here, ladies and gentlemen, is a race that is still too close to call. Democrats might be able to sigh in relief about Gallup and PPP, but Obama could very well be down again next week. It's too early to say for sure whether Romney's bounce is fading. What can be said for sure is that Obama's impressive leads of last month are no more.
Meanwhile, let's look at Arizona:
Romney 42
Obama 40
MOE 4.4
N=488 RV
Source
Yeah, it's an RV model with an MOE you can drive a truck through, but I wouldn't expect Obama to be anywhere near this close even with a poll this loose. If future polls confirm this, then Obama would do well to compete in Arizona. Romney would be hard-pressed to win the general election without this state.
Rasmussen (three-day daily tracker):
Romney 47
Obama 44
Gallup (five-day daily tracker):
Obama 47
Romney 44
PPP (Weekly, released April 19th):
Obama 49
Romney 46
MOE 3.3
What we have here, ladies and gentlemen, is a race that is still too close to call. Democrats might be able to sigh in relief about Gallup and PPP, but Obama could very well be down again next week. It's too early to say for sure whether Romney's bounce is fading. What can be said for sure is that Obama's impressive leads of last month are no more.
Meanwhile, let's look at Arizona:
Romney 42
Obama 40
MOE 4.4
N=488 RV
Source
Yeah, it's an RV model with an MOE you can drive a truck through, but I wouldn't expect Obama to be anywhere near this close even with a poll this loose. If future polls confirm this, then Obama would do well to compete in Arizona. Romney would be hard-pressed to win the general election without this state.
