Gallup and Rasmussen have started their tracking polls, and the news is good for Mitt Romney.
Gallup:
Romney 47
Obama 45
MOE 3%
Rasmussen:
Romney 47
Obama 44
MOE 3%
Gallup uses a Registered Voter model at this stage, and Rasmussen uses a Likely Voter model. Rasmussen leans slightly Republican. It's safe to say that the candidates are neck-and-neck right now, with Romney holding the advantage. Both candidates are doing well with their parties, and both polls show Romney leading with independents right now.
This is in stark contrast to other polls that have Obama up by nine points. Those polls might lead an Obama supporter to complacency. The danger of complacency in this general election cannot be overstated, especially because there's a better than 50% chance that if the election were held today, Obama would be a one-term President.
DailyKos has their own take on the day's polls here.
Gallup:
Romney 47
Obama 45
MOE 3%
Rasmussen:
Romney 47
Obama 44
MOE 3%
Gallup uses a Registered Voter model at this stage, and Rasmussen uses a Likely Voter model. Rasmussen leans slightly Republican. It's safe to say that the candidates are neck-and-neck right now, with Romney holding the advantage. Both candidates are doing well with their parties, and both polls show Romney leading with independents right now.
This is in stark contrast to other polls that have Obama up by nine points. Those polls might lead an Obama supporter to complacency. The danger of complacency in this general election cannot be overstated, especially because there's a better than 50% chance that if the election were held today, Obama would be a one-term President.
DailyKos has their own take on the day's polls here.