![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png){kind=small}
maxomaiNow that FiveThirtyEight.com has gone all Huffpo, the Princeton Election Consortium is your new place for election poll analysis. In today's post, they explain the state of the Senate races:
They then go on to explain that of these elections, the most valuable votes --- in terms of determining which party controls the US Senate after 2014 --- are those cast in Kentucky.
There is an ActBlue page set up to donate money to those campaigns that have the most effect on who controls the Senate (Kentucky, but also Iowa, Colorado, Louisiana, Alaska and Arkansas). Billions of dollars (not joking) are already going into these races, but they can still use your help.
Back in December I predicted that McConnell would lose his seat, either to Grimes or to his Tea Party opponent. It looks from the PEC analysis that my prediction wasn't that far off base. This isn't certain victory by any shot, but it is a dead heat, which is the closest McConnell has come to losing his seat in decades. That prediction is still alive.
Only four races - Kentucky, Iowa, Louisiana, and Colorado – have no clear leader at the moment. If we assign all the other races, that gives 48 Democrats/Independents and 48 Republicans.
They then go on to explain that of these elections, the most valuable votes --- in terms of determining which party controls the US Senate after 2014 --- are those cast in Kentucky.
Donate below for the most bang for your buck
There is an ActBlue page set up to donate money to those campaigns that have the most effect on who controls the Senate (Kentucky, but also Iowa, Colorado, Louisiana, Alaska and Arkansas). Billions of dollars (not joking) are already going into these races, but they can still use your help.
Impact on my 2014 Predictions
Back in December I predicted that McConnell would lose his seat, either to Grimes or to his Tea Party opponent. It looks from the PEC analysis that my prediction wasn't that far off base. This isn't certain victory by any shot, but it is a dead heat, which is the closest McConnell has come to losing his seat in decades. That prediction is still alive.
