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maxomaiRight now, the race between Barack Obama and Mitt Romney is, for all intents and purposes, a tie.
PPP:
Obama 49%
Romney 44%
N=700
MOE=3.7%
Quoting:
PPP's methodology is okay, but their poll tends to lean democratic. So, to bracket, we should look at a Republican-leaning pollster. Fox News works here:
Obama 45%
Romney 46%
N=906
MOE=3%
In other words, we have a statistical tie according to Fox.
Taking these two polls as a bracket, Obama is anywhere from tied to just barely ahead of Mitt Romney. This is, IMO, a pretty good place for Obama to be right now. He's not campaigning much, and indeed the media focus has been on the Republican primaries for months now. But it should also serve as a reminder that the Democrats cannot be complacent. The time to start organizing is right now. You can start here.
PPP:
Obama 49%
Romney 44%
N=700
MOE=3.7%
Quoting:
One thing that really stands out in this poll is the extent to which Obama has claimed the middle. He's up 68-27 on Romney with moderates. He also leads by 20 points with voters under 45, a group there's been some concern about slippage with, and he has a 66-30 advantage with Hispanics.
PPP's methodology is okay, but their poll tends to lean democratic. So, to bracket, we should look at a Republican-leaning pollster. Fox News works here:
Obama 45%
Romney 46%
N=906
MOE=3%
In other words, we have a statistical tie according to Fox.
Taking these two polls as a bracket, Obama is anywhere from tied to just barely ahead of Mitt Romney. This is, IMO, a pretty good place for Obama to be right now. He's not campaigning much, and indeed the media focus has been on the Republican primaries for months now. But it should also serve as a reminder that the Democrats cannot be complacent. The time to start organizing is right now. You can start here.
