2012 Predictions Scorecard

A year ago - December 27, 2011 - I gave my predictions for what would happen in 2012. Unlike most other political pundits, however, I score myself on my predictions a year later.

My predictions for last year were:

1. Barack Obama will be re-elected to a second term as President.


2. John Boehner will be ousted as Speaker of the House.


3. Democrats will just barely hold on to the US Senate


4. The US unemployment rate will dip below 8%.


5. The European Union will hold on .. barely.


6. Inflation will remain below 10%.


7. Protest movements in the US, Russia, Europe and MENA will accelerate.


8. The US will substantially reduce its troop presence in Afghanistan.


9. Oregon will win the Rose Bowl.

Let's see how I did!

( Read more... )